Saturday, June 23, 2007

35 Miles Per Gallon Will Change Everything

WHO MAKES 35 MPG VEHICLES?

Our US government has just announced that vehicles sold in our country will have to meet 35 miles per gallon requirements within 15 years or so. The current crop of vehicles are lucky to average 25 mpg, with a host of people opting to buy large trucks & SUVs that barely get 15 mpg in city traffic, loaded with people and/ or purchases.

Some sports cars and heavy 7-passenger SUVs are guzzling gasoline at the rate of 11 miles per gallon. At today's current high gas prices, the owners of gas guzzlers must fork over $90 just to drive 275 miles, with many of the higher-performance models requiring premium fuel. Ouch!

Some questions come to mind when considering what our government has mandated:
1) Who can expect to meet these high standards?
Observation: Currently there are just a handful of Asian imports that can do this well, like Toyota Yaris & Prius, Nissan Versa, Honda Fit & Civic Hybrid, Kia Spectra and Chevy Aveo (from the Daewoo folk in Korea).
None of the 90 SUV offerings in the USA right now will make it.
The top 2 selling trucks & the two best selling cars in the USA don't hit anywhere near that (Ford F-150, Chevy Silverado, Toyota Camry, & Chevy Malibu).

2) Can US manufacturers suddenly become economy car experts after 47 years of failed attempts?
Answer: Don't bet the family farm on it. You don't see many 1960 Ford Falcons, Chevy Corvairs, AMC Ramblers or Plymouth Valiants on the street today. Hardly any of the small economy cars produced by our US companies assembled up thru 1997 are still driveable today, and are even less desirable as used cars. Chevy Vegas, Ford Pintos and Dodge Omnis made such enemies of American consumers that the foreign car revolution took over in most big population centers.

3) Are our legislators deliberately sabotaging our own domestic auto industry in favor of foreign competitors?
You decide: If our government refuses to seal our borders & enforce existing laws against unwanted "human" intruders, why would we assume that they care about the US companies that have helped build up our economy for the last 100 years, including using our production plants to save our country during times of World Wars?
Many states (typically southern, but not always) have given sweetheart deals to foreign automobile manufacturers to set up assembly plants in the USA (in on-union areas) starting in 1980 (with the Honda Accord plant in Ohio).
One friend in the automotive business for over 20 years worries that the anticipated arrival of Chinese automobiles on our shores will be a bad omen, as the new products assembled there just are not good at all.


4) Will our streets soon become flooded with tiny, unsafe, unreliable cars from Third World countries?
Wondering out loud: We sure hope that vehicles like Smart cars are not going to be the norm on our roads. There is absolutely no front crash protection of 5-6 feet ahead of the driver, nor the 4-5 feet of steel structure behind the rear seat drivers in the tiny microcars that are made & sold in Asia and Europe.

When one ventures out on our roadways, have you noticed that every 5th vehicle seems to be a 18-wheel semi truck (80,000 pounds), every 4th vehicle is a large SUV (up to 6000 lbs), and every 3rd vehicle on our roads is a large pickup truck (5000 lbs unloaded), all whizzing along at 55 to 75 mph? If collisions today of normal cars against these massive vehicles are dangerous, what would happen if microcars tangle with such mountains of motorized metal?


5) Is there knowledge of, or a desire for, higher US gasoline prices and/or taxes on gasoline, so that fuel-efficient vehicles will seem all the more attractive?
Not sure: Let us hope that our government does not decide to collect taxes at the gasoline pump like the Europeans and Asians have done for decades. Who will enjoy paying $6.50 a gallon, like they do in northern Europe or Japan today? To be sure, none of us will see a rollback to 17c a gallon like Venezuelans or Kuwaitis pay today.

6) Might the used-car market suddenly become a more lucrative business operation, if tiny, low-profit vehicles will be the only future offerings for shoppers
Dreaming creatively: Look at how many folk today are idolizing the Muscle Cars of the 1960s, with some of the rarest models selling for over $1 million at auction (when they had a new sticker price of just $4500). Scores of mechanical and body shops are restoring and polishing up vehicles that were fun to drive and enjoyable visually.

There are many sporty cars on the market today, as well, which may become very high demand by the years that the new CAFE standards go into effect:
Ford Mustang, Chevy Corvette, Cadillac XL-R, Dodge Viper, BMW M3, M5, M6 & Z4, Audi S4,S^,S8, Mercedes SL & AMG models, Nissan 350Z, Mazda RX-8, Infiniti V-8s, Lexus V-8s, Porsche, Jaguar, Aston Martin, Ferrari, Lamborghini, Lotus, Maserati, etc.

Scores of 10-year old sporty cars (made in the 1990s), that are now out of production, may eventually become lovingly restored as well, for those who enjoy driving, as opposed to being forced to constrict themselves into future, tiny, bean cans by CAFE bureaucrats:
Toyota Supra & Celica, Ford Probe, Mazda RX-7 and MX-6, Chevy Camaro, Pontiac Firebird & Fiero, Cadillac Allante, Buick Riviera, Nissan 240-SX, Acura NSX and Integra GS-R, Honda Prelude, Mitsubishi 3000 GT, Dodge Stealth, Lexus SC300, Mercedes SL350/560, VW Corrado, BMW Z8, Z3, M5, M6.

What will you drive?

---Torrey H. Brinkley
Mead, Colorado

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

We should be flying by now VTOL style. It seems like India is making more progress in gas alternative vehicles. I'm curious as to why there is not more interest in solar powered vehicles?

_joel